Cerurina marshalli
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~50%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harare | 🇿🇼 Zimbabwe |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Cerurina marshalli sighting in Harare on a given day, based on 8 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 47th most-seen of the 93 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April and December
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Cerurina marshalli in Harare on a given day, against under 5% in February and June–November, the lowest months. Those are among Harare's wettest months, with about 110 mm of rain a month against almost none in August.
Only Harare, in our data
Harare is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Cerurina marshalli sightings: about 10% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Same order: Lepidoptera
The closest relatives of the Cerurina marshalli that you can see in Harare (order Lepidoptera, Butterflies and Moths) are Citrus Swallowtail (about 20%), Yellow Pansy (about 20%) and Dancing Amber (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Cerurina marshalli is recorded against all the insects logged in Harare (8 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
