What are the chances of seeing a Birch Marble in Helsinki?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Birch Marble sighting in Helsinki on a given day, based on 9 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 553rd most-seen of the 838 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Birch Marble in Helsinki?
July and August
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Birch Marble in Helsinki on a given day, against under 5% in September to June, the lowest months.
What time of day is best to see a Birch Marble?
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Birch Marble sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Where else can you see a Birch Marble?
Only Helsinki, in our data
Helsinki is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Birch Marble sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Which relatives of the Birch Marble live in Helsinki?
Same family: Tortricidae
The closest relatives of the Birch Marble that you can see in Helsinki (family Tortricidae, Tortricid Leafroller Moths) are Barred Marble (about 10%), Common Marble (about 10%) and White-Foot Bell (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Birch Marble sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Birch Marble is recorded against all the insects logged in Helsinki (9 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.