Adoxophyes privatana
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Adoxophyes privatana, the appleleaf-curling moth, is a moth of the family Tortricidae. The species was first described by Francis Walker in 1863. It is native to south-east Asia, where it has been recorded from Taiwan, Hong Kong, Hainan in China, Nepal, India, Sri-Lanka, Thailand, Vietnam, western Malaysia, Singapore, Sumatra, Java, Borneo, the Philippines and the Chagos Archipelago. It is an accidental introduction in Great Britain. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
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More parks will be added in future updates.
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report an Appleleaf-Curling Moth sighting in Hong Kong on a given day, based on 49 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 234th most-seen of the 1125 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
March to June
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Appleleaf-Curling Moth in Hong Kong on a given day, against under 5% in July to February, the lowest months. Those are among Hong Kong's wettest months, with about 170 mm of rain a month against 25 mm in December.
Yes
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Appleleaf-Curling Moth sightings, Hong Kong has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Tuen Mun (China, about 10%) and Singapore (Singapore, under 5%).
Same family: Tortricidae
The closest relatives of the Appleleaf-Curling Moth that you can see in Hong Kong (family Tortricidae, Tortricid Leafroller Moths) are Lobesia aeolopa (about 10%) and Spilonota mortuana (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Appleleaf-Curling Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Hong Kong (49 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
