What are the chances of seeing an Arna bipunctapex in Hong Kong?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report an Arna bipunctapex sighting in Hong Kong on a given day, based on 33 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 299th most-seen of the 1125 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Arna bipunctapex in Hong Kong?
March–May, July and October
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Arna bipunctapex in Hong Kong on a given day, against under 5% in June, August–September and November–February, the lowest months.
Is Hong Kong the best place to see an Arna bipunctapex?
Yes
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Arna bipunctapex sightings, Hong Kong has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Taipei (Taiwan, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Arna bipunctapex live in Hong Kong?
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Arna bipunctapex that you can see in Hong Kong (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Banyan Tussock Moth (about 20%), Orvasca subnotata (about 20%) and Zhejiang Tussock Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Arna bipunctapex sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Arna bipunctapex is recorded against all the insects logged in Hong Kong (33 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.