Orvasca subnotata
In 3 days ~40% in a week ~70%
Orvasca subnotata is a nygmiine tussock moth in the family Erebidae, found in Indomalaya and East Asia, where it is known as a pest that feeds on millets. The species was first described by Francis Walker in 1865. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hong Kong | 🇨🇳 China | |
| 2 | Tuen Mun | 🇨🇳 China | |
| 3 | Zhuhai [Macau] | 🇨🇳 China | |
| 4 | Pune | 🇮🇳 India | |
| 5 | Colombo [Sri Jayawardenepura Kotte] | 🇱🇰 Sri Lanka | |
| 6 | Kochi | 🇮🇳 India | |
| 7 | Guangzhou | 🇨🇳 China | |
| 8 | Bengaluru | 🇮🇳 India | |
| 9 | Chennai | 🇮🇳 India | |
| 10 | Hyderabad | 🇮🇳 India |
Possible
About 20% of wildlife watchers report an Orvasca subnotata sighting in Hong Kong on a given day, based on 205 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 49th most-seen of the 1125 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 40%, and over a week to about 70%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April–May and October
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report an Orvasca subnotata in Hong Kong on a given day, against about 10% in June–September and November–March, the lowest months.
Yes
Of the 12 cities where we can rate Orvasca subnotata sightings, Hong Kong has the highest daily chance: about 20%. Next come Tuen Mun (China, about 10%) and Zhuhai [Macau] (China, about 10%).
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Orvasca subnotata that you can see in Hong Kong (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Banyan Tussock Moth (about 20%), Zhejiang Tussock Moth (about 10%) and Cocoa Tussock Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Orvasca subnotata is recorded against all the insects logged in Hong Kong (205 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
