What are the chances of seeing a Death Head Bug in Hong Kong?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Death Head Bug sighting in Hong Kong on a given day, based on 23 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 407th most-seen of the 1125 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Death Head Bug in Hong Kong?
November to February
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Death Head Bug in Hong Kong on a given day, against under 5% in March to October, the lowest months. Those are among Hong Kong's driest months, with about 30 mm of rain a month against 280 mm in June.
Is Hong Kong the best place to see a Death Head Bug?
4th of 5
Of the 5 cities where we can rate Death Head Bug sightings, Hong Kong ranks 4th at under 5%. The best odds are in Tuen Mun (China, about 10%), Guangzhou (China, about 10%) and Osaka (Japan, about 10%).
Where does the Death Head Bug sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Death Head Bug is recorded against all the insects logged in Hong Kong (23 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.