What are the chances of seeing an Elusa cyathicornis in Hong Kong?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Elusa cyathicornis sighting in Hong Kong on a given day, based on 16 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 680th most-seen of the 1125 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Elusa cyathicornis in Hong Kong?
April
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Elusa cyathicornis in Hong Kong on a given day, against under 5% in May to March, the lowest months.
Where else can you see an Elusa cyathicornis?
Only Hong Kong, in our data
Hong Kong is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Elusa cyathicornis sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Which relatives of the Elusa cyathicornis live in Hong Kong?
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the Elusa cyathicornis that you can see in Hong Kong (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are Flammona trilineata (about 10%), Oriental Leafworm Moth (about 10%) and Cerynea discontenta (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Elusa cyathicornis sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Elusa cyathicornis is recorded against all the insects logged in Hong Kong (16 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.