Macaldenia palumba
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Macaldenia palumba is a moth of the family Noctuidae first described by Achille Guenée in 1852. It is found from the Oriental region of India, Sri Lanka to Japan (Okinawa) and Sundaland, east to New Guinea. It is also found on Guam in Micronesia. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
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More parks will be added in future updates.
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Macaldenia palumba sighting in Hong Kong on a given day, based on 18 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 488th most-seen of the 1125 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
August to November
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Macaldenia palumba in Hong Kong on a given day, against under 5% in December to July, the lowest months.
Among the best
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Macaldenia palumba sightings, Hong Kong ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Chennai (India, under 5%).
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Macaldenia palumba that you can see in Hong Kong (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Banyan Tussock Moth (about 20%), Orvasca subnotata (about 20%) and Zhejiang Tussock Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Macaldenia palumba is recorded against all the insects logged in Hong Kong (18 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
