Melanographia flexilineata
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~50%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Melanographia flexilineata sighting in Hong Kong on a given day, based on 86 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 129th most-seen of the 1125 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
October
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Melanographia flexilineata in Hong Kong on a given day, against under 5% in May–June and December–January, the lowest months. That is one of Hong Kong's driest months, with about 50 mm of rain against 280 mm in June.
Yes
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Melanographia flexilineata sightings, Hong Kong has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Tuen Mun (China, about 10%).
Same family: Nolidae
The closest relatives of the Melanographia flexilineata that you can see in Hong Kong (family Nolidae, Tufted Moths) are Meganola brunellus (about 10%), Nola pascua (about 10%) and Inouenola pallescens (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Melanographia flexilineata is recorded against all the insects logged in Hong Kong (86 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
