What are the chances of seeing a Metanastria gemella in Hong Kong?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Metanastria gemella sighting in Hong Kong on a given day, based on 40 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 255th most-seen of the 1125 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Metanastria gemella in Hong Kong?
January–April, August and October–November
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Metanastria gemella in Hong Kong on a given day, against under 5% in May–July, September and December, the lowest months.
Is Hong Kong the best place to see a Metanastria gemella?
Yes
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Metanastria gemella sightings, Hong Kong has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Tuen Mun (China, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Metanastria gemella live in Hong Kong?
Same family: Lasiocampidae
The closest relatives of the Metanastria gemella that you can see in Hong Kong (family Lasiocampidae, Lappet Moths) are Trabala pallida (about 10%), Kunugia divaricata (about 10%) and Euthrix isocyma (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Metanastria gemella sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Metanastria gemella is recorded against all the insects logged in Hong Kong (40 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.