What are the chances of seeing a Microstylum dux in Hong Kong?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Microstylum dux sighting in Hong Kong on a given day, based on 35 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 288th most-seen of the 1125 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Microstylum dux in Hong Kong?
May to July
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Microstylum dux in Hong Kong on a given day, against under 5% in August to April, the lowest months. Those are among Hong Kong's wettest months, with about 230 mm of rain a month against 25 mm in December.
Is Hong Kong the best place to see a Microstylum dux?
Yes
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Microstylum dux sightings, Hong Kong has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Guangzhou (China, about 10%) and Tuen Mun (China, about 10%).
Which relatives of the Microstylum dux live in Hong Kong?
Same order: Diptera
The closest relatives of the Microstylum dux that you can see in Hong Kong (order Diptera, Flies) are Ptecticus aurifer (about 10%), Yellow-Shouldered Hover Fly (about 10%) and Black Soldier Fly (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Microstylum dux sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Microstylum dux is recorded against all the insects logged in Hong Kong (35 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.