What are the chances of seeing a Nyctemera tripunctaria in Hong Kong?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Nyctemera tripunctaria sighting in Hong Kong on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 1005th most-seen of the 1125 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Nyctemera tripunctaria in Hong Kong?
Any time of year
In every month with enough records, under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Nyctemera tripunctaria in Hong Kong on a given day, so our monthly data shows no clear season.
Where else can you see a Nyctemera tripunctaria?
Only Hong Kong, in our data
Hong Kong is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Nyctemera tripunctaria sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Which relatives of the Nyctemera tripunctaria live in Hong Kong?
Same genus: Nyctemera
The closest relatives of the Nyctemera tripunctaria that you can see in Hong Kong (genus Nyctemera, Magpie Tiger Moths) are Nyctemera adversata (about 10%) and Nyctemera lacticinia (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Nyctemera tripunctaria sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Nyctemera tripunctaria is recorded against all the insects logged in Hong Kong (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.