What are the chances of seeing an Olulis puncticinctalis in Hong Kong?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Olulis puncticinctalis sighting in Hong Kong on a given day, based on 19 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 467th most-seen of the 1125 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Olulis puncticinctalis in Hong Kong?
April to July
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Olulis puncticinctalis in Hong Kong on a given day, against under 5% in August to March, the lowest months. Those are among Hong Kong's wettest months, with about 200 mm of rain a month against 25 mm in December.
Where else can you see an Olulis puncticinctalis?
Only Hong Kong, in our data
Hong Kong is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Olulis puncticinctalis sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Which relatives of the Olulis puncticinctalis live in Hong Kong?
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Olulis puncticinctalis that you can see in Hong Kong (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Banyan Tussock Moth (about 20%), Orvasca subnotata (about 20%) and Zhejiang Tussock Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Olulis puncticinctalis sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Olulis puncticinctalis is recorded against all the insects logged in Hong Kong (19 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.