What are the chances of seeing a Rufous Hook-Tip in Hong Kong?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Rufous Hook-Tip sighting in Hong Kong on a given day, based on 66 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 167th most-seen of the 1125 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Rufous Hook-Tip in Hong Kong?
March–April and June–November
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Rufous Hook-Tip in Hong Kong on a given day, against under 5% in May and December–February, the lowest months.
Where else can you see a Rufous Hook-Tip?
Only Hong Kong, in our data
Hong Kong is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Rufous Hook-Tip sightings: about 10% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Which relatives of the Rufous Hook-Tip live in Hong Kong?
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Rufous Hook-Tip that you can see in Hong Kong (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Banyan Tussock Moth (about 20%), Orvasca subnotata (about 20%) and Zhejiang Tussock Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Rufous Hook-Tip sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Rufous Hook-Tip is recorded against all the insects logged in Hong Kong (66 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.