Tymbarcha cerinopa
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Tymbarcha cerinopa is a species of moth of the family Tortricidae. It is commonly found in Eastern India (Assam). The wingspan of this moth is about 13 mm. The forewings are whitish-ochreous, the veins more ochreous, strewn with small tufts of scales finely sprinkled with blackish, tending to be arranged in transverse series. The basal patch, a narrow central fascia starting from a small whitish spot on the costa, and a streak along the posterior part of the costa and termen are suffusedly glistening silvery-whitish. The hindwings are pale whitish-grey-ochreous. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hong Kong | 🇨🇳 China |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Tymbarcha cerinopa sighting in Hong Kong on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 925th most-seen of the 1125 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
November
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Tymbarcha cerinopa in Hong Kong on a given day, against under 5% in December to October, the lowest months. That is one of Hong Kong's driest months, with about 30 mm of rain against 280 mm in June.
Only Hong Kong, in our data
Hong Kong is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Tymbarcha cerinopa sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Same family: Tortricidae
The closest relatives of the Tymbarcha cerinopa that you can see in Hong Kong (family Tortricidae, Tortricid Leafroller Moths) are Appleleaf-Curling Moth (about 10%), Lobesia aeolopa (about 10%) and Spilonota mortuana (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Tymbarcha cerinopa is recorded against all the insects logged in Hong Kong (6 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
