Polygonia egea
In 3 days ~50% in a week ~80%
Polygonia egea, the southern comma, is a butterfly of the family Nymphalidae. It is found in southern Europe. The butterfly flies from March to September depending on the location. The larvae feed on Parietaria officinalis in Europe.In the Transcaucasus on Parietaria judaica and in Turkey Parietaria and Urtica. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
Possible
About 20% of wildlife watchers report a Southern Comma sighting in Istanbul on a given day, based on 86 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 15th most-seen of the 266 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 50%, and over a week to about 80%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June–August and October
In those months about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Southern Comma in Istanbul on a given day, against under 5% in January, the lowest month.
Yes
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Southern Comma sightings, Istanbul has the highest daily chance: about 20%. Next come Jerusalem (Israel, about 10%) and Naples (Italy, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Southern Comma is recorded against all the insects logged in Istanbul (86 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
