Polygonia egea
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~60%
Polygonia egea, the southern comma, is a butterfly of the family Nymphalidae. It is found in southern Europe. The butterfly flies from March to September depending on the location. The larvae feed on Parietaria officinalis in Europe.In the Transcaucasus on Parietaria judaica and in Turkey Parietaria and Urtica. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
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More parks will be added in future updates.
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Southern Comma sighting in Jerusalem on a given day, based on 7 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 94th most-seen of the 137 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 60%, if each day is a fresh chance.
July
In that month about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Southern Comma in Jerusalem on a given day, against under 5% in August to April, the lowest months. That is one of Jerusalem's driest months, with almost no rain against 90 mm in January.
2nd of 3
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Southern Comma sightings, Jerusalem ranks 2nd at about 10%. The best odds are in Istanbul (Turkey, about 20%).
Same family: Nymphalidae
The closest relatives of the Southern Comma that you can see in Jerusalem (family Nymphalidae, Brush-footed Butterflies) are Painted Lady (about 30%), Large Wall Brown (about 30%) and Persian Meadow Brown (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Southern Comma is recorded against all the insects logged in Jerusalem (7 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
