Coelonia fulvinotata
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Coelonia fulvinotata (also known as the fulvous hawk) is a moth of the family Sphingidae first described by Arthur Gardiner Butler in 1875. It is known from most habitats throughout the Afrotropical realm, from the Gambia east to Ethiopia and south to northern South Africa and Madagascar. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nairobi National Park | 🇰🇪 Kenya | |
| 2 | Table Mountain National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 3 | Garden Route National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nairobi | 🇰🇪 Kenya | |
| 2 | Cape Town | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 3 | Johannesburg | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 4 | Pretoria | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 5 | Durban | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Fulvous Hawk sighting in Johannesburg on a given day, based on 8 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 139th most-seen of the 213 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
March–April and October–January
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Fulvous Hawk in Johannesburg on a given day, against under 5% in February and May–September, the lowest months. Those are among Johannesburg's wettest months, with about 85 mm of rain a month against almost none in July.
Between 8 and 11 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Fulvous Hawk sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Among the best
Of the 5 cities where we can rate Fulvous Hawk sightings, Johannesburg ranks 3rd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Nairobi (Kenya, about 10%) and Cape Town (South Africa, about 10%).
Same family: Sphingidae
The closest relatives of the Fulvous Hawk that you can see in Johannesburg (family Sphingidae, Sphinx Moths) are Death's Head Hawkmoth (about 20%), Mulberry Hawkmoth (about 10%) and Convolvulus Hawkmoth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Fulvous Hawk is recorded against all the insects logged in Johannesburg (8 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
