Pericyma atrifusa
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Pericyma atrifusa is a moth of the family Erebidae. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kruger National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johannesburg | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Lined Shades sighting in Johannesburg on a given day, based on 8 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 153rd most-seen of the 213 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
February and October–December
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Lined Shades in Johannesburg on a given day, against under 5% in January and March–September, the lowest months. Those are among Johannesburg's wettest months, with about 90 mm of rain a month against almost none in July.
Between 5 and 8 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Lined Shades sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Only Johannesburg, in our data
Johannesburg is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Lined Shades sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Lined Shades that you can see in Johannesburg (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Creamstriped Owl (about 30%), Lederhosen Moth (about 10%) and Graphic Ermine (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Lined Shades is recorded against all the insects logged in Johannesburg (8 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
