Rhodogastria similis
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~30%
Rhodogastria similis is a moth in the family Erebidae. It was described by Heinrich Benno Möschler in 1884. It is found in South Africa and Zimbabwe. The larvae feed on Pelargonium species and Prunus armeniaca. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pretoria | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 2 | Johannesburg | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 3 | Durban | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report an Orange Tricolour Tiger Moth sighting in Johannesburg on a given day, based on 9 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 133rd most-seen of the 213 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
March–April, October and December–January
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Orange Tricolour Tiger Moth in Johannesburg on a given day, against under 5% in February, May–September and November, the lowest months. Those are among Johannesburg's wettest months, with about 85 mm of rain a month against almost none in July.
Between 5 and 8 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Orange Tricolour Tiger Moth sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Among the best
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Orange Tricolour Tiger Moth sightings, Johannesburg ranks 2nd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Pretoria (South Africa, about 10%).
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Orange Tricolour Tiger Moth that you can see in Johannesburg (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Creamstriped Owl (about 30%), Lederhosen Moth (about 10%) and Graphic Ermine (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Orange Tricolour Tiger Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Johannesburg (9 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
