Illeis confusa
In 3 days ~50% in a week ~80%
Illeis confusa is a species of beetle of the family Coccinellidae. It is found in India (Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Jammu & Kashmir, Manipur, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Sikkim, Tripura, Uttarakhand, West Bengal), Nepal, Bhutan, Thailand and China (including Hong Kong). Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
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More parks will be added in future updates.
Possible
About 20% of wildlife watchers report an Illeis confusa sighting in Kathmandu on a given day, based on 15 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 20th most-seen of the 71 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 50%, and over a week to about 80%, if each day is a fresh chance.
January and February
In those months about 40% of wildlife watchers report an Illeis confusa in Kathmandu on a given day, against under 5% in March–May, September and December, the lowest months. Those are among Kathmandu's driest months, with about 15 mm of rain a month against 280 mm in July.
Yes
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Illeis confusa sightings, Kathmandu has the highest daily chance: about 20%. Next come Tuen Mun (China, about 10%) and Hong Kong (China, under 5%).
Same family: Coccinellidae
The closest relatives of the Illeis confusa that you can see in Kathmandu (family Coccinellidae, Lady Beetles) are Seven-Spotted Lady Beetle (about 30%), Oenopia mimica (about 20%) and Sixteen-Spotted Lady Beetle (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Illeis confusa is recorded against all the insects logged in Kathmandu (15 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
