Cosmia affinis
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Cosmia affinis, the lesser-spotted pinion, is a moth of the family Noctuidae. It is found in central and southern Europe, north to Great Britain, Denmark, southern Sweden up to Saint Petersburg. East, its range extends through northern and Central Asia up to Japan. It is also found in north-western Africa. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 2 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Lesser-Spotted Pinion sighting in Kyiv on a given day, based on 10 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 430th most-seen of the 753 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
July and September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Lesser-Spotted Pinion in Kyiv on a given day, against under 5% in August and October–June, the lowest months.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Lesser-Spotted Pinion sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Yes
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Lesser-Spotted Pinion sightings, Kyiv has the highest daily chance: under 5%. Next come Paris (France, under 5%) and Tokyo (Japan, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Lesser-Spotted Pinion is recorded against all the insects logged in Kyiv (10 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
