What are the chances of seeing an Idaea incisaria in Lisbon?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Idaea incisaria sighting in Lisbon on a given day, based on 7 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 324th most-seen of the 441 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Idaea incisaria in Lisbon?
September
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Idaea incisaria in Lisbon on a given day, against under 5% in October to August, the lowest months. That is one of Lisbon's driest months, with about 25 mm of rain against 95 mm in November.
Is Lisbon the best place to see an Idaea incisaria?
Among the best
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Idaea incisaria sightings, Lisbon ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Madrid (Spain, under 5%).
Where does the Idaea incisaria sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Idaea incisaria is recorded against all the insects logged in Lisbon (7 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.