Cyclophora puppillaria
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Cyclophora puppillaria, or Blair's mocha, is a moth of the family Geometridae. The species was first described by Jacob Hübner in 1799. It can be found in Europe and from North Africa up to the Caucasus area. The wingspan is 28–36 mm in the first generation; the second and any subsequent generations are on average much smaller often only 19 mm. Front and hindwings have almost the same colour. This is however very variable and ranges usually from reddish brown to reddish yellow and light brown. Some specimens are sand coloured, brown or orange. Also, the pattern is very variable. The inner and outer cross lines, as well as the median band can be very well developed, but also almost completely missing. The interior cross line, but especially the outer cross line is often replaced by a row of dots. The discal spots on the front and rear wings can be large, small or completely absent. In specimens with large discal spots, these are often with white pupils. The front wing margin stains present on the hindwings, but mostly absent. The basal half of the costa is often dark. Where the inner and outer cross line reach the costal of the forewings, noticeable spots are usually... Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 2 | Sierra de Guadarrama National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 3 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Blair's Mocha sighting in Lisbon on a given day, based on 19 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 178th most-seen of the 441 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May and June
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Blair's Mocha in Lisbon on a given day, against under 5% in July to April, the lowest months. Those are among Lisbon's driest months, with about 25 mm of rain a month against 95 mm in November.
Between 11 pm and 2 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Blair's Mocha sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
6th of 7
Of the 7 cities where we can rate Blair's Mocha sightings, Lisbon ranks 6th at under 5%. The best odds are in Porto (Portugal, about 20%), Valencia (Spain, about 10%) and Tel Aviv (Israel, about 10%).
Same family: Geometridae
The closest relatives of the Blair's Mocha that you can see in Lisbon (family Geometridae, Geometer Moths) are Vestal (about 10%), Double-Striped Pug (about 10%) and Small Dusty Wave (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Blair's Mocha is recorded against all the insects logged in Lisbon (19 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
