What are the chances of seeing a Rose Leaf-Rolling Sawfly in Liverpool?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Rose Leaf-Rolling Sawfly sighting in Liverpool on a given day, based on 15 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 411th most-seen of the 632 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Rose Leaf-Rolling Sawfly in Liverpool?
May to September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Rose Leaf-Rolling Sawfly in Liverpool on a given day, against under 5% in October to April, the lowest months.
Is Liverpool the best place to see a Rose Leaf-Rolling Sawfly?
Yes
Of the 5 cities where we can rate Rose Leaf-Rolling Sawfly sightings, Liverpool has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Budapest (Hungary, about 10%) and Berlin (Germany, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Rose Leaf-Rolling Sawfly live in Liverpool?
Same family: Tenthredinidae
The closest relatives of the Rose Leaf-Rolling Sawfly that you can see in Liverpool (family Tenthredinidae, Common Sawflies) are Willow Redgall Sawfly (about 10%), Sallow Pea-Gall Sawfly (about 10%) and Marginal Sycamore Disc-Miner (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Rose Leaf-Rolling Sawfly sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Rose Leaf-Rolling Sawfly is recorded against all the insects logged in Liverpool (15 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.