What are the chances of seeing an Arocatus roeselii in London?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Arocatus roeselii sighting in London on a given day, based on 34 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 578th most-seen of the 1504 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Arocatus roeselii in London?
March–April and December
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Arocatus roeselii in London on a given day, against under 5% in January–February and May–November, the lowest months.
Is London the best place to see an Arocatus roeselii?
5th of 10
Of the 10 cities where we can rate Arocatus roeselii sightings, London ranks 5th at under 5%. The best odds are in Paris (France, about 10%), Lyon (France, about 10%) and Berlin (Germany, about 10%).
Where does the Arocatus roeselii sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Arocatus roeselii is recorded against all the insects logged in London (34 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.