Phyllonorycter leucographella
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
The firethorn leaf miner (Phyllonorycter leucographella) is a moth of the family Gracillariidae. It is native to southern Europe (Mediterranean regions of France, Spain, Greece, Albania, Russia (Crimea), Turkey, and the southern part of former Yugoslavia where its principal host plant is native) and was probably introduced accidentally into several countries in western Europe on transported plant material. It has now been recorded as far north as Finland and east to Hungary. It was first recorded in Great Britain in 1989. Nash et al. (1995) studied the spread of this species in Great Britain. Besides the "natural" spread of the insect, they found several foci of colonization outside the main distribution range that were undoubtedly due to human activities. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
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More parks will be added in future updates.
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Firethorn Leafminer sighting in London on a given day, based on 86 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 394th most-seen of the 1504 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
February
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Firethorn Leafminer in London on a given day, against under 5% in April–July and November, the lowest months.
Among the best
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Firethorn Leafminer sightings, London ranks 2nd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 10%).
Same genus: Phyllonorycter
The closest relatives of the Firethorn Leafminer that you can see in London (genus Phyllonorycter) are London Midget (about 10%) and Nut Leaf Blister Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Firethorn Leafminer is recorded against all the insects logged in London (86 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
