Eupithecia exiguata
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
The mottled pug (Eupithecia exiguata) is a moth of the family Geometridae. The species was first described by Jacob Hübner in 1813. It is found across the Palearctic region apart from around the Mediterranean Sea. It is common in the British Isles apart from Scotland where it is rather local.
The wingspan is 20–22 mm and the long and pointed forewings are brown or yellowish grey marked with pale radial lines and a large, somewhat oval black discal spot. The most characteristic markings are the strong black dashes on the radial and median veins where they cross the postmedian band The hindwings are cream or grey also with a discal spot. The larva is green with lozenge-shaped red dorsal spots.
The species flies at night in May and June and is attracted to light, sometimes in large numbers. The larva feeds on the foliage of various trees and shrubs (see list below). The species overwinters as a pupa. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Mottled Pug sighting in London on a given day, based on 24 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 776th most-seen of the 1504 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May and June
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Mottled Pug in London on a given day, against under 5% in July to April, the lowest months.
Among the best
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Mottled Pug sightings, London ranks 3rd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Manchester (United Kingdom, under 5%) and Birmingham (United Kingdom, under 5%).
Same genus: Eupithecia
The closest relatives of the Mottled Pug that you can see in London (genus Eupithecia, Pug Moths) are Lime-Speck Pug (about 10%), Cypress Pug (about 10%) and Common Pug (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Mottled Pug is recorded against all the insects logged in London (24 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
