Abrostola tripartita
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Abrostola tripartita (the spectacle) is a moth of the family Noctuidae. It is found throughout much of the Palearctic realm, including most of Europe (except for Iceland), as well as Russia, Siberia, the Amur region, Kyrgyzstan, and Kazakhstan. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Snowdonia National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom |
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 5 | Nizhny Novgorod | 🇷🇺 Russia |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a The Spectacle sighting in London on a given day, based on 46 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 492nd most-seen of the 1504 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
July to September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a The Spectacle in London on a given day, against under 5% in October to June, the lowest months.
Between 8 and 11 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most The Spectacle sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
3rd of 5
Of the 5 cities where we can rate The Spectacle sightings, London ranks 3rd at about 10%. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 20%) and Birmingham (United Kingdom, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the The Spectacle is recorded against all the insects logged in London (46 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
