What are the chances of seeing a Thaumetopoea herculeana in Madrid?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Thaumetopoea herculeana sighting in Madrid on a given day, based on 10 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 274th most-seen of the 457 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Thaumetopoea herculeana in Madrid?
January and March–April
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Thaumetopoea herculeana in Madrid on a given day, against under 5% in February and May–December, the lowest months.
What time of day is best to see a Thaumetopoea herculeana?
Between midnight and 3 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Thaumetopoea herculeana sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is seen both by day and at night.
Where else can you see a Thaumetopoea herculeana?
Only Madrid, in our data
Madrid is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Thaumetopoea herculeana sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Where does the Thaumetopoea herculeana sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Thaumetopoea herculeana is recorded against all the insects logged in Madrid (10 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.