Arge cyanocrocea
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Arge cyanocrocea, the bramble sawfly, is a species of sawflies of the family Argidae, subfamily Arginae. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Leeds | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 5 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 6 | Brussels | 🇧🇪 Belgium | |
| 7 | Milan | 🇮🇹 Italy | |
| 8 | Paris | 🇫🇷 France |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Bramble Sawfly sighting in Manchester on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 387th most-seen of the 458 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May and June
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Bramble Sawfly in Manchester on a given day, against under 5% in July to April, the lowest months.
Between 1 and 4 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Bramble Sawfly sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
4th of 8
Of the 8 cities where we can rate Bramble Sawfly sightings, Manchester ranks 4th at under 5%. The best odds are in Birmingham (United Kingdom, about 10%), Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 10%) and Leeds (United Kingdom, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Bramble Sawfly is recorded against all the insects logged in Manchester (6 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
