Arge pagana
In 3 days ~40% in a week ~60%
Arge pagana is a sawfly in the family Argidae. It is known by the name "large rose sawfly" although the related species Arge ochropus is also known by this name. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | Leeds | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 5 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 6 | Copenhagen | 🇩🇰 Denmark | |
| 7 | Milan | 🇮🇹 Italy | |
| 8 | Beijing | 🇨🇳 China | |
| 9 | Paris | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 10 | Munich | 🇩🇪 Germany |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Large Rose Sawfly sighting in Manchester on a given day, based on 57 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 76th most-seen of the 458 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 40%, and over a week to about 60%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May to July
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Large Rose Sawfly in Manchester on a given day, against under 5% in October to April, the lowest months.
2nd of 13
Of the 13 cities where we can rate Large Rose Sawfly sightings, Manchester ranks 2nd at about 10%. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 20%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Large Rose Sawfly is recorded against all the insects logged in Manchester (57 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
