What are the chances of seeing a Tipula vittata in Manchester?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Tipula vittata sighting in Manchester on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 387th most-seen of the 458 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Tipula vittata in Manchester?
April
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Tipula vittata in Manchester on a given day, against under 5% in May to March, the lowest months.
Is Manchester the best place to see a Tipula vittata?
Yes
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Tipula vittata sightings, Manchester has the highest daily chance: under 5%. Next come Birmingham (United Kingdom, under 5%).
Where does the Tipula vittata sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Tipula vittata is recorded against all the insects logged in Manchester (6 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.