Nephrotoma flavipalpis
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Nephrotoma flavipalpis is a species of crane flies in the family Tipulidae. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 5 | Rotterdam [The Hague] | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | |
| 6 | Essen | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 7 | Paris | 🇫🇷 France |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Nephrotoma flavipalpis sighting in Manchester on a given day, based on 15 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 217th most-seen of the 458 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May to August
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Nephrotoma flavipalpis in Manchester on a given day, against under 5% in September to April, the lowest months.
Between midnight and 3 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Nephrotoma flavipalpis sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
Among the best
Of the 7 cities where we can rate Nephrotoma flavipalpis sightings, Manchester ranks 3rd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 10%) and London (United Kingdom, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Nephrotoma flavipalpis is recorded against all the insects logged in Manchester (15 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
