What are the chances of seeing a Lantern Fly in Melbourne?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Lantern Fly sighting in Melbourne on a given day, based on 67 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 196th most-seen of the 875 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Lantern Fly in Melbourne?
March to May
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Lantern Fly in Melbourne on a given day, against under 5% in June to February, the lowest months.
Is Melbourne the best place to see a Lantern Fly?
Yes
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Lantern Fly sightings, Melbourne has the highest daily chance: under 5%. Next come Perth (Australia, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Lantern Fly live in Melbourne?
Same order: Hemiptera
The closest relatives of the Lantern Fly that you can see in Melbourne (order Hemiptera, True Bugs, Hoppers, Aphids, and allies) are Passionvine Hopper (about 20%), European Firebug (about 10%) and Grey Planthopper (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Lantern Fly sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Lantern Fly is recorded against all the insects logged in Melbourne (67 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.