What are the chances of seeing a Polypedilum nubifer in Melbourne?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Polypedilum nubifer sighting in Melbourne on a given day, based on 22 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 455th most-seen of the 875 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Polypedilum nubifer in Melbourne?
Any time of year
In every month with enough records, under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Polypedilum nubifer in Melbourne on a given day, so our monthly data shows no clear season.
Is Melbourne the best place to see a Polypedilum nubifer?
Among the best
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Polypedilum nubifer sightings, Melbourne ranks 3rd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Perth (Australia, under 5%) and Beijing (China, under 5%).
Where does the Polypedilum nubifer sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Polypedilum nubifer is recorded against all the insects logged in Melbourne (22 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.