What are the chances of seeing a Desert Forktail in Mesa?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Desert Forktail sighting in Mesa on a given day, based on 15 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 128th most-seen of the 232 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Desert Forktail in Mesa?
June to December
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Desert Forktail in Mesa on a given day, against under 5% in January to May, the lowest months.
What time of day is best to see a Desert Forktail?
Between 9 am and noon
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Desert Forktail sightings with a recorded time, and nearly all of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Is Mesa the best place to see a Desert Forktail?
Among the best
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Desert Forktail sightings, Mesa ranks 2nd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Phoenix (United States, about 10%).
Where does the Desert Forktail sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Desert Forktail is recorded against all the insects logged in Mesa (15 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.