What are the chances of seeing a Black-Fronted Forktail in Mexico City?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Black-Fronted Forktail sighting in Mexico City on a given day, based on 110 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 103rd most-seen of the 557 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Black-Fronted Forktail in Mexico City?
April to December
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Black-Fronted Forktail in Mexico City on a given day, against under 5% in January to March, the lowest months.
Is Mexico City the best place to see a Black-Fronted Forktail?
Yes
Of the 5 cities where we can rate Black-Fronted Forktail sightings, Mexico City has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Las Vegas (United States, about 10%) and Los Angeles (United States, under 5%).
Where does the Black-Fronted Forktail sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Black-Fronted Forktail is recorded against all the insects logged in Mexico City (110 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.