What are the chances of seeing a Broad-Headed Marsh Fly in Minneapolis [Saint Paul]?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Broad-Headed Marsh Fly sighting in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] on a given day, based on 17 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 320th most-seen of the 672 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Broad-Headed Marsh Fly in Minneapolis [Saint Paul]?
September
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Broad-Headed Marsh Fly in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] on a given day, against under 5% in October to August, the lowest months.
Is Minneapolis [Saint Paul] the best place to see a Broad-Headed Marsh Fly?
Among the best
Of the 9 cities where we can rate Broad-Headed Marsh Fly sightings, Minneapolis [Saint Paul] ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Calgary (Canada, under 5%).
Where does the Broad-Headed Marsh Fly sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Broad-Headed Marsh Fly is recorded against all the insects logged in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] (17 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.