What are the chances of seeing a Heliozela aesella in Minneapolis [Saint Paul]?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Heliozela aesella sighting in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] on a given day, based on 9 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 433rd most-seen of the 672 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Heliozela aesella in Minneapolis [Saint Paul]?
June
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Heliozela aesella in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] on a given day, against under 5% in July to May, the lowest months. That is one of Minneapolis [Saint Paul]'s wettest months, with about 130 mm of rain against 20 mm in January.
Is Minneapolis [Saint Paul] the best place to see a Heliozela aesella?
Among the best
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Heliozela aesella sightings, Minneapolis [Saint Paul] ranks 3rd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Dallas (United States, under 5%) and Austin (United States, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Heliozela aesella live in Minneapolis [Saint Paul]?
Same order: Lepidoptera
The closest relatives of the Heliozela aesella that you can see in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] (order Lepidoptera, Butterflies and Moths) are Monarch (about 40%), Black Swallowtail (about 30%) and Red Admiral (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Heliozela aesella sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Heliozela aesella is recorded against all the insects logged in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] (9 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.