Polistes major
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Polistes major is a Neotropical species of paper wasp found from South America north into the southern United States. This species is known as avispa de caballo (Spanish: "horse wasp") in the Dominican Republic. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Everglades National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Merritt Island National Wildlife Refuge | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Big Cypress National Preserve | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 4 | Saguaro National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 5 | Cumbres de Monterrey National Park | 🇲🇽 Mexico |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | León | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 2 | Orlando | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | San Luis Potosí | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 4 | Miami | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 5 | Monterrey | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 6 | Mexico City | 🇲🇽 México |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Horse Paper Wasp sighting in Monterrey on a given day, based on 20 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 170th most-seen of the 413 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
February, June–July, September and December
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Horse Paper Wasp in Monterrey on a given day, against under 5% in January, March–May, August and October–November, the lowest months.
Between noon and 3 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Horse Paper Wasp sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
5th of 6
Of the 6 cities where we can rate Horse Paper Wasp sightings, Monterrey ranks 5th at under 5%. The best odds are in León (México, about 10%), Orlando (United States, about 10%) and San Luis Potosí (México, about 10%).
Same genus: Polistes
The closest relatives of the Horse Paper Wasp that you can see in Monterrey (genus Polistes, Umbrella Paper Wasps) are Unstable Paper Wasp (about 10%), Neotropical Red Paper Wasp (about 10%) and Veracruz Paper Wasp (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Horse Paper Wasp is recorded against all the insects logged in Monterrey (20 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
