What are the chances of seeing a Phyllonorycter populifoliella in Moscow?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Phyllonorycter populifoliella sighting in Moscow on a given day, based on 52 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 376th most-seen of the 1111 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Phyllonorycter populifoliella in Moscow?
Any time of year
In every month with enough records, under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Phyllonorycter populifoliella in Moscow on a given day, so our monthly data shows no clear season.
Is Moscow the best place to see a Phyllonorycter populifoliella?
4th of 4
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Phyllonorycter populifoliella sightings, Moscow ranks 4th at under 5%. The best odds are in Minsk (Belarus, about 10%), Yekaterinburg (Russia, under 5%) and Saint Petersburg (Russia, under 5%).
Where does the Phyllonorycter populifoliella sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Phyllonorycter populifoliella is recorded against all the insects logged in Moscow (52 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.