What are the chances of seeing a Plumed Prominent in Moscow?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Plumed Prominent sighting in Moscow on a given day, based on 52 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 239th most-seen of the 1111 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Plumed Prominent in Moscow?
October and November
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Plumed Prominent in Moscow on a given day, against under 5% in December to September, the lowest months.
Is Moscow the best place to see a Plumed Prominent?
Among the best
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Plumed Prominent sightings, Moscow ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Vienna (Austria, under 5%).
Where does the Plumed Prominent sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Plumed Prominent is recorded against all the insects logged in Moscow (52 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.