Ypsolophus ustella
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Variable Smudge sighting in Moscow on a given day, based on 19 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 506th most-seen of the 1111 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
Any time of year
In every month with enough records, under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Variable Smudge in Moscow on a given day, so our monthly data shows no clear season.
Yes
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Variable Smudge sightings, Moscow has the highest daily chance: under 5%. Next come London (United Kingdom, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Variable Smudge is recorded against all the insects logged in Moscow (19 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
