What are the chances of seeing an Eastern Death's Head Hawkmoth in Mumbai?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Eastern Death's Head Hawkmoth sighting in Mumbai on a given day, based on 9 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 243rd most-seen of the 362 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Eastern Death's Head Hawkmoth in Mumbai?
March, May and September–November
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Eastern Death's Head Hawkmoth in Mumbai on a given day, against under 5% in April, June–August and December–February, the lowest months. Those are among Mumbai's driest months, with about 100 mm of rain a month against 830 mm in July.
Is Mumbai the best place to see an Eastern Death's Head Hawkmoth?
12th of 15
Of the 15 cities where we can rate Eastern Death's Head Hawkmoth sightings, Mumbai ranks 12th at under 5%. The best odds are in Jodhpur (India, about 30%), Doha (Qatar, about 20%) and Vadodara (India, about 20%).
Where does the Eastern Death's Head Hawkmoth sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Eastern Death's Head Hawkmoth is recorded against all the insects logged in Mumbai (9 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.