What are the chances of seeing an Alcides trifidus in Nagoya?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report an Alcides trifidus sighting in Nagoya on a given day, based on 12 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 104th most-seen of the 195 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 40%, and over a week to about 60%, if each day is a fresh chance.