Lachnoptera ayresii
In 3 days ~60% in a week ~90%
Lachnoptera ayresii, the eastern blotched leopard, is a butterfly of the family Nymphalidae. It is found in Afromontane and riverine forest from Port St. Johns in the Eastern Cape and then along the escarpment to the midlands of KwaZulu-Natal, Eswatini, Mpumalanga and the Wolkberg in Limpopo, north to Zimbabwe and Mozambique.
The wingspan is 45–52 mm for males and 50–56 mm for females. Adults are on wing year round with a peak in late summer and autumn, from January to June. The larvae feed on Rawsonia lucida and Vismia species. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nairobi | 🇰🇪 Kenya |
Possible
About 30% of wildlife watchers report an Eastern Blotched Leopard sighting in Nairobi on a given day, based on 49 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 9th most-seen of the 123 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 60%, and over a week to about 90%, if each day is a fresh chance.
January
In that month about 40% of wildlife watchers report an Eastern Blotched Leopard in Nairobi on a given day, against under 5% in February, the lowest month.
Only Nairobi, in our data
Nairobi is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Eastern Blotched Leopard sightings: about 30% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Same family: Nymphalidae
The closest relatives of the Eastern Blotched Leopard that you can see in Nairobi (family Nymphalidae, Brush-footed Butterflies) are Soldier Commodore (about 30%), Yellow Pansy (about 30%) and Danaid Eggfly (about 30%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Eastern Blotched Leopard is recorded against all the insects logged in Nairobi (49 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
