Junonia natalica
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~60%
Junonia natalica, the Natal pansy or brown pansy, is a butterfly of the family Nymphalidae. It is found in the Afrotropical realm. The wingspan is 45–50 mm in males and 48–55 mm in females. The larvae feed on Asystasia gangetica and Phaulopsis imbricata. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kafue National Park | 🇿🇲 Zambia | |
| 2 | Mana Pools National Park | 🇿🇼 Zimbabwe | |
| 3 | uMkhuze Game Reserve | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 4 | Gorongosa National Park | 🇲🇿 Mozambique | |
| 5 | Nairobi National Park | 🇰🇪 Kenya | |
| 6 | Kruger National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 7 | iSimangaliso Wetland Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 8 | Hluhluwe-Imfolozi Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Spotted Brown Pansy sighting in Nairobi on a given day, based on 12 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 37th most-seen of the 123 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 60%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June
In that month about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Spotted Brown Pansy in Nairobi on a given day, against under 5% in April, September–October and December–January, the lowest months. That is one of Nairobi's driest months, with about 35 mm of rain against 150 mm in April.
Between 10 am and 1 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Spotted Brown Pansy sightings with a recorded time, and nearly all of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
5th of 6
Of the 6 cities where we can rate Spotted Brown Pansy sightings, Nairobi ranks 5th at about 10%. The best odds are in Lusaka (Zambia, about 50%), Lilongwe (Malawi, about 40%) and Dar es-Salaam (Tanzania, about 30%).
Same genus: Junonia
The closest relatives of the Spotted Brown Pansy that you can see in Nairobi (genus Junonia, Buckeyes & Pansies) are Soldier Commodore (about 30%), Yellow Pansy (about 30%) and Dark Blue Pansy (about 30%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Spotted Brown Pansy is recorded against all the insects logged in Nairobi (12 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
