Coelonia fulvinotata
In 3 days ~40% in a week ~70%
Coelonia fulvinotata (also known as the fulvous hawk) is a moth of the family Sphingidae first described by Arthur Gardiner Butler in 1875. It is known from most habitats throughout the Afrotropical realm, from the Gambia east to Ethiopia and south to northern South Africa and Madagascar. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nairobi National Park | 🇰🇪 Kenya | |
| 2 | Table Mountain National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 3 | Garden Route National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nairobi | 🇰🇪 Kenya | |
| 2 | Cape Town | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 3 | Johannesburg | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 4 | Pretoria | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 5 | Durban | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Fulvous Hawk sighting in Nairobi on a given day, based on 16 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 24th most-seen of the 123 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 40%, and over a week to about 70%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May
In that month about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Fulvous Hawk in Nairobi on a given day, against under 5% in February–April and October, the lowest months.
Between 8 and 11 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Fulvous Hawk sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Yes
Of the 5 cities where we can rate Fulvous Hawk sightings, Nairobi has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Cape Town (South Africa, about 10%) and Johannesburg (South Africa, about 10%).
Same family: Sphingidae
The closest relatives of the Fulvous Hawk that you can see in Nairobi (family Sphingidae, Sphinx Moths) are Convolvulus Hawkmoth (about 10%), Vine Hawkmoth (about 10%) and Death's Head Hawkmoth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Fulvous Hawk is recorded against all the insects logged in Nairobi (16 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
