What are the chances of seeing a Red-Clover Blue in Nairobi?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Red-Clover Blue sighting in Nairobi on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 99th most-seen of the 123 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Red-Clover Blue in Nairobi?
July
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Red-Clover Blue in Nairobi on a given day, against under 5% in January–March, June and August–November, the lowest months. That is one of Nairobi's driest months, with about 25 mm of rain against 150 mm in April.
Where else can you see a Red-Clover Blue?
Only Nairobi, in our data
Nairobi is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Red-Clover Blue sightings: about 10% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Which relatives of the Red-Clover Blue live in Nairobi?
Same family: Lycaenidae
The closest relatives of the Red-Clover Blue that you can see in Nairobi (family Lycaenidae, Gossamer-winged Butterflies) are African Grass Blue (about 20%), Pea Blue (about 10%) and Grey Smoky Blue (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Red-Clover Blue sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Red-Clover Blue is recorded against all the insects logged in Nairobi (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.